Proprietary Trader/ Portfolio Manager | Global Prediction Markets
A global investment platform is establishing a dedicated desk focused on trading geopolitical and macro-driven event markets. The role centers on pricing and executing probability-based contracts across prediction exchanges and related venues. This is a fully proprietary mandate with direct responsibility for risk-taking and PnL.
- Execute trades across prediction markets covering geopolitical and macro events
- Develop and refine proprietary strategies to generate independent PnL
- Identify pricing inefficiencies and cross-market arbitrage opportunities
- Price binary and multi-outcome contracts using probabilistic frameworks
- Manage portfolio risk, capital allocation, and exposure in real time
- Monitor breaking news, sentiment, and macro developments to inform trading
- Contribute to the build-out of desk tools, analytics, and trading processes
- 3+ years of experience in prediction markets, event-driven trading, or political/geopolitical betting
- Strong exposure to macro, geopolitical, or event-based probability markets
- Buyside experience within a hedge fund, proprietary trading firm, or independent setup
- Programming skills in Python or SQL preferred
- Fluency in English required
- Demonstrated ability to produce independent PnL and manage risk effectively
- High-conviction decision making in fast-moving environments
- Experience trading on platforms such as Polymarket or Kalshi
- Background in sportsbook or political forecasting markets
- Interest in building and scaling new trading initiatives
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